Northeast Asia Projects
Chinas African Strategy and Its Implications for U.S.
Interests
J. Peter Pham
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Introduction
With the foreign policy focus of United States policymakers and
media trained primarily on events in the Greater Middle East,
especially those directly connected to Americas global
war on terror, short shift tends to be made of Africa,
the continent getting even less attention than it usually receives
despite its growing strategic significance. 1 Consequently, the
increasing economic and political engagement of the Peoples
Republic of China (PRC) across the continent has gone largely
unnoticed. Yet apart from the Central Eurasian region on its own
northwestern frontier, 2 perhaps no other foreign region rivals
Africa as the object of sustained Chinese strategic inter-est
in recent years, culminating in the publica-tion earlier this
year, in coincidence with Foreign Minister Li Zhaoxings
tour to six African countries, of the first official govern-ment
paper elaborating the PRCs policy toward Africa. 3
Those analysts who have followed these developments have largely
ascribed them to Chinas need to secure access to energy
resources. 4 Although demand for oil is certainly an important
factor driving the PRCs relations with some African states,
it would be remarkably shortsighted to view all of Chinas
interests on the continent through this singular optic. Before
assessing the implications of Chinas growing presence in
Africa on the interests of the United States in the region, it
is necessary first to understand the contours of SinoAfrican
relations as well as the complex dynamics driving the parties
to forge the ties being developed.
Historical Background
Although the fact is hardly known in the West, Chinas contacts
with and interest in Africa date back almost two millennia. The
acclaimed British historian of Africa, Basil Davidson, avers that
Chinese goods were reaching the continent by the sea
routes as early as the beginning of the Christian era
and mentions the discovery in Meroe, the capital of the ancient
kingdom of Kush (situated largely in present-day Sudan), of bronze
pots of undoubtedly Chinese shape. 5 Chinese
porcelain and stoneware as well as coinage dating to the Tang
dynasty (618907) have been found at archaeological excavations
in Egypt, Kenya, and Zanzibar. 6 The most important period of
SinoAfrican relations in historical times came during the
Ming dynasty (13681644) when the voyages of the famed eunuch
Admiral Zheng He (13711433) took the mariner on at least
three occasions as far as the Horn of Africa and the coast of
East Africa where he obtained and took back with him exotic animals,
including a giraffe, to the delight of the Yongle Emperor (1403-1424).
7 Although the Ming officials who sailed with Zheng had as their
man-date the enforced acknowledgment by those they encountered
of the suzerainty of the
Dragon Throne, modern Chinas involvement in Africa began
with a distinctly anti-imperialist tone with Mao Zedongs
ambition that the PRC should strive for the leadership of the
third world. The basis of the PRCs foreign policy is found
in the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence
(mutual respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity, mutual
nonaggression, noninterference in internal affairs, equality and
mutual benefit, and peaceful coexistence) that were enshrined
by China in joint declarations with India and Burma issued one
day apart in June 1954. 8
In April 1955, representatives of 29 African and Asian countriesincluding
the PRCs Zhou Enlai, Egypts Gamal Abdel Nasser, Ghanas
Kwame Nkrumah, Indias Jawaharlal Nehru, Indonesias
Sukarno, and Vietnams Ho Chi Minhmet in the Indonesian
city of Bandung in the first AsianAfrican Conference. The
final communique´ of the summit, which has been seen as
the PRCs first major diplomatic victory,
9 adopted the Five Principles as the foundation
for relations among the emergent nations of the developing worldthe
emphasis on sovereignty and noninterference finding particular
resonance with leaders whose legitimacy was largely founded on
their successful resistance to both historical Western colonialism
as well as new Soviet pressures. The conference participants also
called for economic and cultural cooperation among their largely
newly independent countries as well as a program of active support
for the self-determination of dependent people against colonial
regimes. 10
Following the Bandung Conference, the PRC developed relationships
with both independent African statesNassers Egypt
being the first African country to establish diplomatic relations
with the PRC in 1956and aspiring liberation movements like
the Algerian FLN, whose provisional government received Beijings
recognition in 1958. Premier Zhou Enlai visited Africa three times
in the 1960s, and the decade constituted the high point of Chinas
material assistance to both governments and revolutionary groups
(nearly every liberation movement received arms, funds, and training
from the PRC at one point or another) on the continent. Additional
impetus was given to the policy of engagement by the growing SinoSoviet
split in which Africa, already a theater of cold-war competition
between the Soviet Union and the West, became the setting for
the ideologically driven conflict between the two communist powers.
The SinoSoviet split even spilled over into anticolonial
struggles, in some cases like Rhodesia where Beijing backed Robert
Mugabes Zimbabwe African National Union (ZANU), while Moscow
supported Joshua Nkomos Zimbabwe African Peoples Union
(ZAPU). In 1967 the Gambian poet Lenrie Peters succinctly summarized
the rivalry between the two communist superpowers in verse.
The Chinese then stepped in ...
Were Communist brothers
To help you build Black Socialism.
Only you must kick out the Russians. 11
Despite its enormous cost, by the mid-1960s, the PRCs well-orchestrated
foray had begun to pay dividends on all fronts as 17 of the then
38 independent African states recognized Beijing (compared with
14 that continued relations with Taipei) and Moscow was growing
increasingly defensive that in some African countries pictures
of Soviet-bloc leaders had been displaced or overshadowed by huge
portraits of Mao. 12 The momentum, however, was lost
with the outbreak of the Cultural Revolution in 1966 and the recall
of experienced envoys, many of whom, if they did not meet worse
fates, ended up being paraded about in dunce caps by the Red Guards.
This left SinoAfrican relations in the hands of frightened
subalterns whose principal preoccupation was not statecraft but
survival. A particularly amusing anecdote from the period comes
from Mali, which was ruled until his fall in 1968 by Modibo Keita,
the most openly pro-Chinese leader in Africa. The charge´
daffaires at the Chinese embassy in Bamako was so desperate
to demonstrate his success in promoting
Mao Zedong thought that he persuaded Keita
to allow the importation and distribution of more than four million
copies of the Little Red Bookmore than one per capita, irrespective
of the recipients literacy or lack thereof.
Maos death and the ascendancy of Deng Xiaoping led to a
shift of Chinese policy priorities on both foreign and domestic
fronts. Although the Five Principles were
continually reiterated as the basis for international relationsthey
were subsequently incorporated in the agreements establishing
diplomatic relations between the PRC and more than 160 countriesBeijing
was more concerned about its own economic development and thus
interpreted the principles as conferring privilege on ties with
nations in a positio to further that goal irrespective of their
internal political, social, or ideological systems. As a result,
SinoAfrican ties were moved to the back burner in the late
1970s and remained there through the 1980s, as China focused on
forging ties with economic powers like the United States, Japan,
and South Korea as well as joining international financial institutions
like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Furthermore,
with the collapse of the Soviet Union, Beijing no longer felt
keen pressure to compete for the revolutionary allegiance of Africans
against its old rival, and so it scaled back or terminated support
for a whole series of projects.
By the 1990s, however, two changes on the world stage redirected
the PRCs gaze back to Africa. First, as a result of the
success of its economic modernization program, China quickly found
itself the third-largest economy in the world (after the United
States and Japan, respectively) and since 2003 the worlds
second- largest consumer of petroleum products. If Beijings
long-term pursuit of a peaceful rise (heping
jueqi) was to be sustained, China had to find a source to overcome
its own scarcity of natural resources. Second, the dissolution
of the Soviet Union and the wholesale decline of Russia as a major
power by almost any index except for its inherited nuclear arsenal
left China as the sole power with the potential for challenging
Americas unipolar hegemony. From
its newly prominent place on the world stage, Beijing increasingly
emphasized a preference for democracy in international
relations (guoji guanzi minzhuhua) that is,
a multipolar political and economic order that protected national
prerogatives and institutionalized multilateral approaches to
global concernsand needed supportive partners to pursue
that agenda.
Consequently, throughout the 1990s, the PRC reenergized its bilateral
relations with African countries, especially those in a position
to advance its new-found geostrategic goals. Chinese President
Yang Shangkun visited the continent in 1992; his successor as
president, Jiang Zemin, visited three times, in 1995, 1996, and
2000. In October 1999 Jiang wrote to the Organization of African
Unity (now the African Union) proposing the creation of a Forum
on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC). The proposal signaled a new
phase in Sino African relations, with the PRC evincing a
willingness to engage the continent as a whole rather than through
a series of individual bilateral ties. The following year the
first meeting of the FOCAC ministerial conference was held in
Beijing. Forty-four African states were represented. In his opening
address, Jiang noted that
China is the largest developing country in the world and Africa is
the continent with the largest number of developing countries. At
the turn of the millennium and century, China and Africa are faced
with both historical opportunities for greater development and unprecedented
challenges. At this important historical juncture, an in-depth discussion
between us on how to strengthen cooperation and promote common development
will undoubtedly exert a far-reaching important impact on the cross-century
development of SinoAfrican relations, closer South-South cooperation
and the establishment of an equitable and just new international political
and economic order. 13
The Chinese leader then went on to exhort his African guests to
join in an ambitious new project.
Look forward into the future and establish a new long-term stable
partnership of equality and mutual benefit. The establishment
of stronger friendly ties and closer cooperation between China
and Africa serves the interests of their peoples and conforms
to the trend toward world peace and development. We will deepen
our mutual understanding and trust through various forms of exchanges,
especially direct contacts between top leaders of both China and
African countries. We will take various measures to tap the potential
and explore new ways and areas of our economic cooperation and
trade so that a new pattern of ChinaAfrica economic relations
and cooperation based on mutual benefit and aimed at common development
will gradually take shape. We will also give play to the initiative
of all quarters and promote an all-round friendship between us.
We will make special efforts to educate our younger generations
so that the traditional friendship between China and Africa will
be passed on from generation to generation. 14
The first FOCAC ministerial meeting was followed by a second, which
met in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, in December 2003 and agreed to the
establishment of more permanent follow-up mechanisms in anticipation
of a third conference to be held in three years time. It was
in the context of intensifying SinoAfrican ties that, on January
12, 2006, Beijing published its policy paper on Africa, spelling
out the objectives of Chinas policy toward Africa
and the measures to achieve them and its proposals for cooperation
in various fields in the coming years, with a view of promoting
the steady growth of China-Africa relations in the long term and
bringing the mutually beneficial cooperation to a new stage.
15 Although the document diplomatically (and somewhat ambiguously)
listed the general principles of Chinese strategy toward Africa
as sincerity, friendship, and equality,
mutual benefit, reci-procity, and common prosperity,
mutual sup-port and close coordination,
and learning from each other and seeking common develop-ment,
more concretely those objectives can be translated
as quests for resources, business opportunities, diplomatic initiatives,
and build-ing strategic partnerships.
The Quest for Resources
The dynamic economy unleashed by its post-Mao reformsthe
average of 9 percent growth per annum over the last two decades
has nearly tripled Chinas GDPhas also resulted in an
almost insatiable thirst for oil as well as a need for other natural
resources to sustain it. 16 The PRC has been a net importer of petroleum
since 1993 and has increasingly relied on African countries as suppliers.
As of last year, China was importing approximately 2.6 million barrels
per day (bbl d), which accounts for about half of its consumption;
more than 765,000 bbl droughly a third of its importscame
from African sources, especially Sudan, Angola, and Congo (Brazzaville).
To get some perspective on these numbers, consider that one respected
energy analyst has calculated that although Chinas share of
the world oil market is about 8 percent, its share of total growth
in demand for oil since 2000 has been 30 percent. 17
Although the January 2006 purchase for $2.27 billion of a 45 percent
stake in an offshore Nigerian oilfield by the state-controlled China
National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) the same firm whose
bid to acquire Unocal was thwarted last yearset off alarms
in a number of Western financial publications, it was not news to
longtime observers who have followed Chinese forays into the continents
petroleum reserves for over a decade. In 1993, the year in which
it transitioned from being a net exporter to a net importer of energy
resources, the PRC used its long-standing ties with Algerias
ruling Front de Libe´ration Nationale (FLN) to facilitate
the purchase of several oil refineries in the North African country
for $350 million. Three years later, the state-owned China National
Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) purchased a 40-percent share in Sudans
Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Company, half of whose production
now goes to China and represents approximately 5 percent of the
PRCs oil consumption. Altogether Beijing has signed more than
40 oil agreements with various African countries.
An interesting characteristic of those acquisitions is that the
business model adopted is different from that of Western companies
that have traditionally invested in futures, that is, in rights
to exploration and development. Instead, the three largest Chinese
national oil companiesCNPC, China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation
(Sinopec), and CNOOC, respectivelyhave preferred to acquire
stakes in established operations. The result not only successfully
leverages the smaller pool of capital available to the PRCs
state-owned firms, but it also permits them to minimize risk while
achieving a vertical integration of reserves, extraction, transport,
and refinement that provides Chinese consumers with what is ultimately
fuel at prices below those of other consumers in the world market.
Chinas competitive edge extends beyond mere market efficiencies.
Recently, in an incident widely commented on in the global petroleum
industry, a proposal by Shell Exploration & Production Angola
to sell a 50-percent equity share in an oil block to an Indian company,
ONGC Videsh, was blocked by the government-owned monopoly Sociedade
Nac¸ional de Combustý´veis de Angola (Sonangol),
which ensured that the stake was sold to a Chinese company. Its
denials notwithstanding, many observers surmised that Sonangols
intervention had more than a little to do with the concessionary
two-billion-dollar line of credit that the Chinese Export-Import
Bank extended to the African country that currently exports one-quarter
of its production to China.
In addition to its appetite for petroleum and other hydrocarbon
products, Chinas growing economy has also provided a rich
market for a number of natural resources available in relative abundance
in African countries, including titanium, iron ore, and timber.
In 1997, for example, the Beijing General Research Institute of
Mining and Metallurgy (BGRIMM) invested $150 million and acquired
a 70-percent stake in the Chambezi mine in Zambias Copperbelt
province. When it opened in 2000, the operation had an annual production
of 2.15 million tons of ore and copper concentrate yielding 50,000
tons of copper. More recently Chinese buyers have taken advantage
of the near-universal shunning of the Zimbabwean regime to increase
their access to that countrys titanium deposits.
The PRCs quest for natural resources in Africa also includes
a dimension related to its relatively understudied but nonetheless
burgeoning challenge of food security that has been an unintended
consequence of Chinas economic modernization. As long as a
decade ago it was concluded that Rapid industrialization
is already taking a toll, as [the] grain area has dropped from 90.8
million hectares in 1990 to an estimated 85.7 millions hectares
in 1994. This annual drop of 1.4 percent is likely to endure as
long as rapid economic growth continues. 18 The loss
of agricultural land to industrialization and urbanization, coupled
with increasing consumption by an ever more prosperous and still
growing population, means that China will have to rely more and
more on imports of grain and other foodstuffs (the countrys
current agricultural yield per hectare is already high by global
standards and unlikely to be subject to a sufficiently dramatic
increase even if it were to adopt genetically modified crops). Consequently,
it is not surprising that the recent government policy paper acknowledged
that
China intends to further promote its agricultural cooperation
and exchanges with African nations at various levels, through
multiple channels and in various forms. Focus will be laid on
the cooperation in land development, agricultural plantation,
breeding technologies, food security, agricultural machinery,
and the processing of agricultural and side-line products. 19
Chinese public and private investors have already leased vast tracks
of agricultural land in several African countries, including Tanzania,
Zambia, and Zimbabwe. The China National Hybrid Rice Research and
Development Center has conducted extensive trials of systems of
rice intensification (SRI) with hybrid varieties in Guinea. Joint
fish-processing ventures have been inaugurated in Gabon and Namibia
another one is being negotiated in Cape Verdeto process the
catch from Chinese industrial trawlers operating in the Gulf of
Guinea, one of the richest fisheries in the world.
Business Opportunities
The PRC policy paper forthrightly declares that The
Chinese government encourages and supports Chinese enterprises
investment and business in Africa and will continue to provide preferential
loans and buyer credits to this end. 20 As a result,
more than 700 Chinese state companies are doing business in Africa,
carving out a significant market share not only in the highly competitive
scramble for natural resources but also in sectors that Western
corporations have either neglected or even abandoned altogether
as being less profitable. Chinas foreign direct investment
in Africa represented $900 million of the continents $15 billion
total in 2004. 21
Propelled by a SinoAfrican trade that has grown a prodigious
700 percent in the last decade, the PRC is now the continents
third most important trading partner, behind the United States and
France and ahead of Britain. Although much of this trade is in low-cost
consumer goods produced by state-owned enterprises China has
virtually cornered the African market for T-shirts, for examplea
not inconsiderable volume is specifically targeted at evading quotas
that the United States and the European Union have placed on clothing,
textiles, and other goods imported from China. Under the provisions
of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) signed by President
Bill Clinton in 2000 and the amendments, collectively known as AGOA
II and AGOA III, to expand and then extend the preferential access
for imports from certain Sub-Saharan African states signed by President
George W. Bush in 2002 and 2004, respectively, beneficiary countries
have virtually unlimited access to American markets. Similar provisions
with respect to European markets are contained in the European Unions
2000 Cotonou Agreement with 49 African countries. Chinese firms
established textile and agricultural products operations in a number
of African states in order to avail themselves of highly favorable
trading terms with the West. For example, the municipal government
of Qingdao (more commonly known in the West as Tsingtao, home of
the eponymous beer) created the Mulungushi Industrial Park in Kabwe
Town, Zambia, wherein several Chinese companies relocated. The press
release put out on the occasion explicitly stated that the firms
pledged to make full use of [the] Africa Growth and
Opportunity Act [to] improve the quality of garments being produced
in Zambia, both for local consumption and export. 22
Subsequently, in an echo of the vertical integration that has been
successfully employed in the hydrocarbon sector, Qingdao also invested
in fertilizer and pesticide factories in Zambia as well as a cotton
ginnery.
Chinese construction firms have aggressively sought large-scale
public works and road construction projects in Africa, thanks in
large part to what Chinas Africa Policy described as a pledge
by the government to vigorously encourage Chinese enterprises
to participate in the building of infrastructure in African countries
[and] scale up their contracts. 23 The state-owned China
Road and Bridge Corporation alone has some 500 projects on the continent;
the presence of its expatriate workers is so ubiquitous in some
parts that, for example, Kenyas A109 highway, which leads
from the capital of Nairobi to the Indian Ocean port of Mombasa,
has been dubbed by locals as China Road.
In Ethiopia, the Ethiopian Telecommunications Corporation, the sole
operator in the country, has contracted with the private Shenzen-based
Huawei Technologies to construct its Code Division Multiple Access
(CDMA) wireless network (Huawei previously won contracts for its
CDMA2000 WLL system in several other African countries, including
Nigeria, Kenya, and Uganda).
Not all of the public works projects undertaken by the government
of the PRC and Chinese corporate enterprises have been begun for
pecuniary gain. Recognizing far more astutely than most Western
nations the importance of large prestige projects to regime legitimacy,
Chinese support has been lent to a range of rather nonremunerative
building contracts like foreign ministry buildings in Djibouti and
Uganda; houses of parliament in Cote dIvoire, Gabon,
and Mozambique; and soccer stadiums in the Central African Republic,
Djibouti, and Mali.
Diplomatic Initiatives
Alongsideand, some might suggest, behindthe economic
and commercial ventures has been a series of intensive diplomatic
initiatives aimed first at isolating Taiwan and at achieving an
increasingly broad range of global objectives. Chinas Africa
Policy notes that
The founding of the Peoples Republic of
China and the independence of African countries ushered in a new
era in China-Africa relations. For over half a century, the two
sides have enjoyed close political ties ... The one-China principle
is the political foundation for the establishment and development
of Chinas relations with African countries and regional
organizations. The Chinese Government appreciates that the overwhelming
majority of African countries abide by the one-China principle,
refuse to have official relations with Taiwan and support Chinas
great cause of unification. China stands ready to establish and
develop state-to- state relations with countries that have not
yet established diplomatic ties with China on the basis of the
one-China principle.
Currently the PRC has diplomatic relations with 48 of Africas
states, the most recent being Senegal, which resumed ties in October
2005 after a decade-long hiatus during which the West African
nation had dealings with Taiwan. Two years earlier, in December
2003, China deployed a contingent of 600 peacekeepers to the United
Nations Mission in Liberia (UNMIL), the first instance of PRC
participation in a UN military operation (since then Chinese soldiers
have also joined the peace-keeping mission in the Democratic Republic
of Congo). Not so coincidentally, the move took place as the transitional
Liberian government switched its diplomatic recognition from Taipei
to Beijing. Increasingly the PRCs adroit diplomacy has forced
Taiwans leaders to concentrate even greater resources to
retain the paltry handful of small African states that continue
to recognize it (Burkina Faso, Chad, the Gambia, Malawi, Sa
o Tome´, and Prý´ncipe). 24
In exchange for their diplomatic support, China has provided
a limited but still not inconsiderable amount of development assistance
to African countries. Here, as in many other areas, Beijings
policies are focused on long-term dividends rather than short-term
gains. Since Bandung, some 6,000 African students have studied
in Chinese universities on PRC government scholarships administered
by the African Human Resources Development Fund, and Beijing recently
promised to more than double that number over the next few years.
Typically students spend two years learning Chinese before pursuing
training in engineering and other technical disciplines. Not only
does this program enhance the PRCs image in many countries,
but its alumni help build up the countrys support among
the elites whose ranks they join on returning home from their
studies. More directly China has recently inaugurated a three-month,
all-expenses-paid course for African diplomats at the Foreign
Affairs University in Beijing. 25
Chinese medical, agricultural, and engineering teams have been
working in China for decades. Currently about one thousand physicians
are working throughout the continent, the successors of the more
than 15,000 who have worked in some 47 African countries since
1963. In the 1980s China began to provide nuclear technology to
Algeria, including a 15-megawatt reactor at El Salem that became
fully operational in 1993. One veteran analyst has noted: Beijing
prefers technical support over financial aid to African countries
for obvious reasons. Financial aid stretches resources and diverts
capital from significant needs at home, therefore investments
in trade and projects that have a chance at providing returns
are more popular than direct aid and loan programs.
26
This preference does not preclude the PRCs use of direct
financial assistance as a tool to advance its larger foreign policy
interests. In fact, it often uses the same money twice, so to
speak. The no- or low-interest credit that it makes available
to African countries not only encourages economic ties but also
builds considerable goodwill and political support. Beijing has
been effective at leveraging those same loans a second time, for
example, by announcing at the 2003 FOCAC meeting that it was forgiving
some $1.27 billion in debt owed by 31 African nations. Debt forgiveness
earns China significant political capital among African countries,
ensuring their support at the United Nations and other international
organizations by acknowledging an issue of great importance to
many African leaders. Even though the amount being written off
is dwarfed by comparison with the loans held by multilateral institutions
and Western nations, the cancellation puts China in a diplomatically
and symbolically more favorable position vis-a`-vis the West that
is perceived as not having moved as dramatically.
Building Strategic Partnerships
Although Chinas Africa policy has always sought immediate
returnsthe recent government paper acknowledges that China
has provided assistance to the best of its ability to African
countries, while African countries have also rendered strong support
to China on many occasions 27 its true objectives
are also far-sighted. Perhaps the overriding preoccupation of
Chinas foreign policy on a grand strategic level is Americas
status as the postcold-war worlds leading political, economic,
and military power. Even before the advent of the George W. Bush
administration, which came into office voicing concern about the
challenge that the PRC posed to America in the new century and
whose latest iteration of the National Security Strategy pronounced
Chinas transition incomplete 28
and criticized its old ways of thinking and acting,
29 in the postcold-war period Washington has taken or threatened
to take action on a host of issues ranging from human rights to
trade access to the status of Taiwan that at least by its lights
adversely affected Beijing. Thus the PRC has increasingly predicated
its pursuit of a peaceful rise on a vision
of democracy in international relations
for which it requires allies with whom to make common cause in
international organizations and other multilateral settings.
In this context, the PRCs focus on Sino African relations
makes strategic sense. African countries potentially make up the
largest single bloc in any international organization in which
they participate. Furthermore, both the geographic distance and
the development gap between them prevent Chinas geopolitical
and economic interests from clashing with those of African states
in the way that, Beijings best efforts notwithstanding,
they are bound to collide at some point with those of its Eurasian
neighbors. In his speech at the opening of the second FOCAC ministerial
meeting in Addis Ababa in December 2003, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao
essentiallyand explicitly offered his African counterparts
a deal.
China and Africa share the same goal and interests
in promoting democratization of international relations. We support
Africas position on multilateralism. The international community
should intensify consultation, work to maintain a diversified
world, and facilitate mutual exchanges and emulation among different
civilizations and modes of development. We stand for the observance
of the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations,
and the safeguarding of the authority of the UN and its leading
role in handling major international issues. As a permanent member
of the UN Security Council, China will always stand side by side
with developing countries in Africa and other parts of the world
and support their legitimate requests and reasonable propositions.
30
Even before Wen made his partnership offer to the Africans, their
votes, procured relatively inexpensively, had proved their worth
to China. Not only have the votes cast by African states routinely
killed resolutions at the UN Commission on Human Rights that would
have been embarrassing or at least inconvenient for the PRC, but
Africas delegates to the International Olympic Committee
put Beijings bid for the 2008 summer games over the top
after it had narrowly lost the 2000 games to Sidney. Over the
long term, positioning itself at the head of a bloc of African
and other developing countries will be a force multiplier
of the heft the PRC already wields from its permanent seat on
the Security Council.
The burgeoning SinoAfrican strategic partnership is reinforced
by increasing military cooperationwhich also has the added
benefit of helping ensure the security of Chinas investments
in the continents natural resources and infrastructure.
As early as 2001, a study published in the Armed Forces Journal
found that from the varied evidence of Chinese arms
transfers, oil concessions, and military delegations in Africa,
it is apparent that China has dramatically increased its military
business dealings in Africa. 31 Since then alone China
has sold Sudan 12 F-7 Shenyang fighters (the Chinese version of
the Russian MiG-21) and Zimbabwe 12 FC-1 multipurpose fighters
as well as lighter arms to at least a dozen other African countries.
Recently Nigeria, tired of the slow pace of assistance from the
United States to protect its oil-rich Niger Delta from a growing
insurgency, placed an order with China for dozens of patrol boats.
Some coun-tries that cannot afford to make purchases, such as
Sierra Leone, which received a naval patrol vessel for its rich
fisheries, have even received donations. Western countries still
account for the majority of arms transfers to Africa, and according
to a RAND Corporation report, 32 Chinese exports are more strongly
subject to control by the state that uses them as a foreign policy
tool, which has gained China important African allies for its
overall political goals.
Whats in It for Africa?
The PRCs courtship of Africa has not gone unrequited. Africas
interests, both state and private, have found themselves complementary
to those of China. Premier Wen assured the 2003 ChinaAfrica
Cooperation summiteers in Addis Ababa that Chinese assistance
comes with the deepest sincerity and without any political
conditionalities, 33 a pledge reiterated by President
Hu Jintao the following year when, during his state visit to Gabon,
the Chinese head of state declared that the PRCs relations
with the continent would be free of political conditionality
and serving the interest of Africa and China. 34 It
was not surprising that such words found particular resonance
with the likes of Hus host, Gabons El Hadj Omar Bongo
Ondimba, who enjoys the dubious distinction of being Africas
longest serving head of state, having spent almost four decades
in power during which time he made more state visits to China
(nine) than any other world leader. 35
Perhaps the most well-known beneficiary of Beijings dont
ask, dont tell position has been Sudan. With
its ownership of 13 of the 15 largest companies and purchase of
more than 50 percent of the crude oil, China is both the largest
foreign direct investor in and the largest customer of the countrys
emergent petroleum production. As French journalist Jean-Christophe
Servant observed: The cynicism of the government in
Beijing became apparent in September 2004, when the UN Security
Council passed Resolution 1564, announcing an embargo on arms
sales to Sudan. Chinas UN ambassador, Wang Guangya, used
the massacres in Darfur as a pretext for threatening to veto the
resolution, before finally abstaining. The United States-proposed
resolution had already been significantly watered down.
36 To be sure, it is not just governments that have found Chinas
policies in Africa convenient. Allegations have been made from
groups as disparate as the humanitarian agency Catholic Relief
Services and the neoconservative Institute for the Analysis of
Global Security about corrupt business practices by Chinese companies
working in some African countries. 37
On the other hand, African nations have benefited in a number
of ways from their links with China. On the economic plane alone,
Chinas growth has sustained a global boom in the prices
of the natural resources that are Africas primary export.
Hard currency earnings on a range of commodities have risen significantly
because Chinese demand has exercised upward pressure on prices.
Although Chinese investment in Africa has focused primarily on
the PRCs own national priorities, in a part of the world
that is starved for capital, almost anyone willing to invest is
welcome. Furthermore, although Western media have focused on the
competitionprimarily for natural resourcesamong American
and European firms and their Chinese counterparts, the fact is
that a considerable amount of the activity of Chinese firms is
found in labor-intensive undertakings like road construction and
agriculture that, although vital for Africas future, attract
little interest from either Western agencies or investors. Consequently,
Chinese investments in these neglected sectors result in a win-win
scenario: The firms themselves profit while the infrastructure
improvements redound to benefit the over-all development of the
African countries themselves.
In addition, it should not be forgotten that there are many Africans
who sincerely view China as a model for emulation. They draw parallels
not only between Chinas humiliation at the hands of Western
powers in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries and their own
experience of colonialism but also Maoist Chinas economic
catastrophes and their disastrous postindependence pursuit of
African socialism. Consequently, irrespective
of whether manyor even anyof the particulars of its
economic expansion can or should be replicated elsewhere, Chinas
current rise to great power status, powered by its economic expansion,
stands out as an example to many African lead-ers, as does the
Chinese Communist partys ability to adapt to changing global
conditions without sacrificing regime stability.
Implications for U.S. Interests
The 2006 National Security Strategy of the United States
declares that Africa holds growing geo-strategic importance
and is a high priority of this Administration 38 as
it should be for a region that supplies America with 16 percent
of its petroleum needs and which, according to a report prepared
for the National Intelligence Council, will be providing more
than one-quarter of its oil imports by 2015, thus surpassing the
total volume of oil imports from the Middle East within a decade,
to cite just one reason. 39 Consequently, the growing influence
of any major actor on the continent bears careful watching by
both policymakers and other observers: Although Chinas increasing
engagement in Africa does not necessarily represent a direct threat
to Americas national interests, it does alter the strategic
calculus in at least four significant ways.
First, China and many Chinese firms enjoy a competitive edge
over their Western homologues. Because most of the Chinese companies
investing in Africa are at least partially state owned, their
managers often make decisions with an eye on less tangible long-term
objectives rather than more measurable financial profitsand,
even then, the long-term objectives may be those of the Chinese
nation rather than those of a particular business entity. Although
a business model that sacrifices short-term gains for long-term
advantage is certainly economically comprehensible to Western
companies, it is often not practicable to their directors who
are subject to share-holder pressures to produce returns on investments.
In addition, although donor governments may offer incentives for
recipient states in Africa to do business with national firms,
the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)to
which the PRC does not belongdiscourages the direct linkage
of foreign aid with private or semipublic commercial ventures.
Second, Beijings willingness to divorce political conditionality
from economic engagements throws a lifeline to odious regimes
that might have otherwise collapsed under Western pressure. Zimbabwe
is a case in point. If it were not bad enough that its takeover
of the extensive agricultural plots owned largely by white commercial
farmers has reduced southern Africas breadbasket to its
basket case in less than half a decade, the Mugabe regime has
also ruthlessly ridden roughshod over the countrys civil
liberties and, more recently, undertook Operation Murambatsvina
(clear the filth) that displaced hundreds
of thousands of people. 40 Nonetheless, Chinese investments have
continued to flow into the country, including a joint coal venture,
a glass factory, a ferrochrome smelting plant, a telephone assembly
facility, and beef production in vast tracts, some of which were,
until their owners were driven out by Mugabes war
veterans earlier this decade, under grain cultivation.
The aging Zimbabwean despot, a recipient of Beijings largesse
for nearly 40 years, no doubt counts on his Chinese patrons to
exercise their Security Council veto against any meaningful UN
action against him. In any event, the West no longer enjoys the
exclusive franchise and unfettered freedom of action in Africa
that some former colonial powers took for granted. 41
Third, even where it does not directly abet odious regimes, the
PRCs emergence as a major player in Africa has occasionally
stymied the efforts of other international actors to promote transparency
and good governance on the continent. Business is
business, Chinese Deputy Foreign Minister Zhou Wenzhong
bluntly told a New York Times interviewer. We try
to separate politics from business. ... You have tried to impose
a market economy and multiparty democracy on these countries,
which are not ready for it. We are also against embargos, which
you have tried to use against us. 42 The ultimate
consequence of this laissez-faire approach is that the leverage
of those seeking to promote reforms in Africa has been considerably
weakened: too much pressure and they now run the risk that the
objects of their attention, especially if they are well endowed
with natural resources, will simply turn to an alternative partner.
Fourth, Chinas ramped up engagement has altered the balance
of military forces on the continent. The PRC now has approximately
1,500 military personnel serving with UN peacekeeping forces in
Africa. There are also an estimated 4,0005,000 Chinese troops
who, under cover of being contractors,
guard hydrocarbon facilities in southern Sudan. Chinas partners
have also increased their military capacities. For example, it
is estimated that Sudan currently plows 80 percent of its $500
million annual oil revenues into weapons purchases. With Beijings
assistance, Khartoum has also built three weapons factories of
its ownuseful things to have when one falls under a UN weapons
embargo. Furthermore, several Chinese firms, purportedly acting
without government authorization, have been implicated in trafficking
rocket propelled grenade launchers and other arms to rebels and
mercenaries involved in low-intensity conflicts in places like
Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Cote dIvoire.
Although it would be a mistaketo say nothing of a needless
and dangerous escalation of tensionsto interpret these challenges
to mean that the PRC must be considered Americas adversary,
the United States must recognize that Chinas economic prosperity
requires it to seek both natural resources and markets and, in
turn, to secure them through increased diplomatic action in places
like Africa that offer prospects of both. These quests have changed
and will continue to affect the economic, political, and strategic
dynamics of the Africa continent where America will necessarily
find itself increasingly engaged in the twenty-first century.
The answer, however, is not resentment and hostility but creative
engagement in both Africa and Chinaa visit to Beijing in
November 2005 by United States Assistant Secretary of State for
African Affairs Jendayi Frazer marked a significant first step
toward the latter. Although an unfounded irenic worldview would
ill serve Americas national interests, an uncritical hermeneutic
of suspicion would do so likewise. It should be noted, for example,
that for all of its investmentsto say nothing of its political
reservations about precedents that could be invoked against itthe
PRC has been careful to abstain rather than veto UN Security Council
actions against the Sudanese government, including the referral
of the human rights violations in Darfur to the International
Criminal Court. In short, there are at least some indications
that Beijing can be sufficiently flexible if Washington is willing
to reciprocate.
With respect to African states, the United States needs to continue
to develop a comprehensive, proactive strategy in place of what
heretofore has been its ad hoc, reactive approach. Committed
and consistent engagement even of what former Assistant Secretary
of State for African Affairs Herman Cohen has termed nonvital
interests 43 will do more to promote American interests
and advance its influence than ill-counseled attempts to contain
Chinese commercial and diplomatic forays. Washington, which is
officially committed to diversifying its energy supplies, can
also do more to encourage American firms, with their extraordinary
access to capital and technology, to invest in developing Africas
hydrocarbon as well as other natural resources.
Conclusion
For the international community in general but especially for
the United States, the PRCs Africa strategy represents both
a challenge and an opportunity. There are plenty of possible conflicts.
America may come to view China as a rival in a zero-sum competition
for material resources and political spheres of influence in Africa,
whereas Beijingalways wary of outside involvement in the
internal affairs of other countriesmay interpret Washingtons
promotion of democracy and good governance on the continent as
a play for hegemony that will cut off access to the resources
and markets it needs to continue its peaceful rise
to great power status. On the other hand, there are also common
interests that could potentially outweigh conflicts. As the PRC
grows more confident of its place on the world stage, it is doubtful
that it will want to be viewed as the bailer of choice for Africas
tyrants. For its part, with its forces stretched to unprecedented
limits by its multiple commitments and its citizenry increasingly
wary of entanglements in foreign conflicts, the United States
will need partners who can exercise leverage with some of these
regimes.
Furthermore, there may be ways, as yet unexplored, in which the
economic and diplomatic investments of both countries in Africa
would prove to be complementary to each other as well as beneficial
to Africans. In either case, as they increasingly view Africaand
each otherstrategically, scholars, opinion leaders, and
policymakers in both Washington and Beijing would do well to exercise
prudence as well as initiative, heeding the wisdom of an ancient
Chinese proverb: If you want to know your future,
look into your present actions.
About the Author
A member of the National Committee on American Foreign Policys
Board of Advisers, J. Peter Pham is director of the Nelson Institute
for International and Public Affairs at James Madison University
and a resident fellow of the Institute for Infrastructure and
Information Assurance. A frequent commentator on international
political, legal, and religious affairs, Dr. Phams most
recent book is Child Soldiers, Adult Interests: The Global Dimensions
of the Sierra Leonean Conflict (2005).
Notes
-
See J. Peter Pham, U.S. National
Interests and Africas Strategic Significance,
American Foreign Policy Interests, vol. 27, no. 1 (February
2005): 1929; also see Council on Foreign Relations, More
than Humanitarianism: A Strategic U.S. Approach Toward Africa
(New York, 2006).
-
See J. Peter Pham, Beijings
Great Game: Understanding Chinese Strategy in Central Eurasia,
American Foreign Policy Interests, vol. 28, no. 1 (February
2006): 5367.
-
See Chinas African Policy (Beijing,
2006). The text of the document is available in English translation
on the Web site of the International Department of the Central
Committee of the Communist party of China, available at http://www.idcpc.org.cn/.
-
See, inter alia, Chris Melville and Olly
Owen, China and Africa: A New Era of South-South
Cooperation (London, 2005), available at http://www.opendemocracy.net/globalization-G8/south_2658.jsp
(last accessed March 1, 2006); and Esther Pan, China, Africa,
and Oil (New York, 2006), available at http://www.cfr.org/publication/9557/
(last accessed March 1, 2006).
-
Basil Davidson, Old Africa Rediscovered
(London, 1959), 158.
-
See Gao Jinyuan, China and Africa:
The Development of Relations Over Many Centuries,
African Affairs, vol. 83, no. 331 (April 1984): 241250.
-
See Louise Levathes, When China Ruled the
Seas: The Treasure Fleet of the Dragon Throne, 14021433
(New York, 1994).
-
The principles were first floated in an interview
given by Premier Zhou Enlai to a visiting Indian delegate. See
Dao Nian Zhou Enlai (Beijing, 1986): 493.
-
Zhimin Lin, Chinas Third World
Policy, in The Chinese View of the World,ed.YufanHao
and Guocang Huan (New York, 1989): 230.
-
See Richard Wright, The Color Curtain: A
Report on the Bandung Conference (1956; Jackson, Miss.,
1994).
-
Quoted inPhilip Snow, TheStarRaft:Chinas
Encounter with Africa (London, 1988): 105.
-
Christopher Andrew and Vasili Mitrokhin, The
World Was Going Our Way: The KGB and the Battle for the Third
World (New York, 2005): 274.
-
Jiang Zemin, China and Africa Usher
in the New Century Together (October 10, 2000),
available at http://english.people.com. cn/english/200010/10/eng20001010_52238.
html (last accessed March 1, 2006).
-
Ibid.
-
Chinas African Policy, op. cit.
-
See Erica Downs, The Chinese Energy
Security Debate, China Quarterly, no. 177
(March 2004): 2141.
-
See Daniel Yergin, Ensuring Energy
Security, Foreign Affairs, vol. 85, no. 2
(March April 2006): 6982.
-
Lester R. Brown, Who Will Feed
China? in China: Opposing Viewpoints, ed.
James D. Torr (San Diego, 2001): 24.
-
Chinas African Policy, op. cit.
-
Ibid.
-
See Jean-Christophe Servant, La
Chine a` lassaut du marche´ africain,
Le monde diplomatique (May 2005): 67.
-
Zambia, China Sign Four Deals,
Daily Mail (September 24, 2003), available at http://www.zamtel.zm/mainnews13
11 2003. html (last accessed March 1, 2006).
-
Chinas African Policy, op. cit.
-
See Ian Taylor, Taiwans Foreign
Pol-icy and Africa: The Limitations of Dollar Diplomacy,
Journal of Contemporary China, vol. 11, no. 30 (2002):
125140.
-
See Howard W. French, China Wages
Classroom Struggle to Win Friends in Africa, The
New York Times (November 20, 2005): A4.
-
Drew Thompson, Economic Growth
and Soft Power: Chinas Africa Strategy, China
Brief, vol. 4, no. 24 (December 7, 2004): 4.
-
Chinas African Policy, op. cit.
-
The National Security Strategy of the United
States of America (Washington, 2006): 40.
-
Ibid., 41.
-
Wen Jiabao, Speech at Opening Cere-mony
of China-Africa Cooperation Forum (December 16,
2003), available at http://www. china.org.cn/english/international/82534.htm
(last accessed March 1, 2006).
-
Logan Wright, Seizing an Opportunity:
The Changing Character of Chinese Arms Sales to Africa,
Armed Forces Journal, vol. 5, no. 10 (October 2001):
96.
-
See Daniel L. Byman and Roger Cliff, Chinas
Arms Sales: Motivations and Implications (Santa Monica,
1999).
-
Wen Jiabao, op. cit.
-
Hu Jintao, To Consolidate Traditional
Sino-African Friendship and Deepen All-Around Sino-African Cooperation
(February 3, 2004), available at http://www.china.org.cn/english/international/86047.htm
(last accessed March 1, 2006).
-
On Bongo and his family, see J. Peter Pham,
Legitimacy, Justice, and the Future of Africa,
Human Rights & Human Welfare, vol. 5 (2005): 3149.
-
Jean-Christophe Servant, op. cit.
-
See, inter alia, Ian Gary and Terry Lynn
Karl, Bottom of the Barrel: Africas Oil Boom and the
Poor (Baltimore, 2003).
-
National Security Strategy, op. cit.,
37.
-
39. National Intelligence Council, Global
Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future with Nongovernmental
Experts (Washington, 2000): 73.
-
See Human Rights Watch, Clear
the Filth: Mass Evictions and Demolitions in Zimbabwe
(New York, 2005).
-
See Antoine Glaser and Stephen Smith, Comment
la France a perdu lAfrique (Paris, 2005).
-
Howard W. French, China in Africa:
All Trade, with No Political Baggage, The New
York Times (August 8, 2004): A12.
-
See Herman J. Cohen, The United
States and Africa: Nonvital Interests Also Require Attention,
American Foreign Policy Interests, vol.25, no. 1 (February
2003): 1924.
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